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Supply Chain
Management (SCM)

Definition
A supply chain is a network that includes vendors of raw materials,
plants that transform those materials into useful products, and
distribution centers to get those products to customers.
Without any specific effort to coordinate the overall supply chain
system, each organization in the network has its own agenda and operates
independently from the others. However, such an unmanaged network
results in inefficiencies. For example, a plant may have the goal of
maximizing throughput in order to lower unit costs. If the end demand
seen by the distribution system does not consume this throughput, there
will be an accumulation of inventory. Clearly, there is much to be
gained by managing the supply chain network to improve its performance
and efficiency.
Decision Variables in Supply Chain Management
In managing the supply chain, the following are decision variables:
* Location - of facilities and sourcing points
* Production - what to produce in which facilities
* Inventory - how much to order, when to order, safety stocks
* Transportation - mode of transport, shipment size, routing, and
scheduling
The Bullwhip Effect
A problem frequently observed in unmanaged supply chains is the bullwhip
effect. This effect is an oscillation in the supply chain caused by
demand variability. This problem must be addressed in order to avoid the
poorer service and higher costs that stem from it.
Inventory Management
Variation in demand increases the challenge of maintaining inventory to
avoid stock outs. There exist techniques for inventory management that
optimize the performance for a given set of parameters.
Vendor Managed Inventory
An effective way to improve supply chain performance is for the vendor
to determine the quantities that should be ordered by its downstream
customers, rather than the other way around. This approach is known as
Vendor Managed Inventory, abbreviated VMI. While its implementation
faces practical challenges, it can be an effective method for reducing
inventory and stock-outs.
Accurate Response
In the classical news vendor problem, one must decide the best order
quantity that maximizes profits given that some money is lost if all of
the units do not sell and given the fact that potential profits are lost
if the units sell out. In some situations, a second order can be placed
once the sales period begins. Such an opportunity helps one to better
match supply and demand, since the first order can be a quantity equal
to the expected demand minus a selected number of standard deviations (
2, for example) below that mean. Of course, any minimum order quantities
must be taken into account.
In many industries, the variance in demand is proportional to the
variance in the forecasts for that demand. This relationship even exists
in stock price forecasting. When this relationship holds, it can be used
to estimate the mean demand and its variance, and these values can be
used in optimization models.
For seasonal goods such as winter sportswear, which has a short selling
season and long lead times, a firm can do several things to better match
supply and demand:
* Additional events can be held before large trade fairs in order to
secure orders further in advance.
* Supplier capacity can be reserved without specifying the exact product
mix. This postponement of the final mix has benefits similar to those of
postponing product customization until the distribution center.
* Common parts can be used in designs in order to pool some of the
variation between individual demands.
Supply Chain Structure

The performance of a supply chain is measured in terms of profit,
average product fill rate, response time, and capacity utilization.
Profit projections may improve if another parameter is relaxed, but one
must consider the impact of all aspects of the relaxed parameter on
profits. For example, if customers are lost because response time is too
slow, then the profit projections may be artificially high.
Average fill rate can be improved by carrying more inventory in order to
reduce stock-outs. The optimal balance must be achieved between
inventory cost and lost profits due to stock-outs.
Response time often can be improved at the expense of higher overall
costs. As with fill rate, the optimal trade-off should be found. If
response time is sacrificed in order to achieve higher profits, sales
forecasts may have to be modified if the elasticity of demand with
respect to service is significant at the chosen service levels.
Capacity utilization should be high enough to reduce overhead
sufficiently, but not so high that there is no room to grow or to handle
fluctuations in demand. Problems often are encountered when capacity
utilization exceeds 85%. Lower capacity utilization in effect buys an
option for increased output in the future. Higher capacity utilization
decreases downside risk since costs are reduced, but also limits the
upside gain if future demand should outstrip supply.
Make-To-Order
To reduce inventory and increase flexibility, some firms have turned to
make-to-order production systems. Some companies can reap great benefit
from such a system. Make-to-stock is better for other companies, such as
those whose customers are not willing to wait for the product.
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